Which Way? Bitcoin’s Low Volatility May Force Big Move
Bitcoin has been squeezed into an increasingly narrow range for more than two weeks and is now experiencing volatility not seen for eight months.
As a result, it’s looking likely that bitcoin could soon make a strong move, but the direction it will take when that happens is less than clear. Since May 24, the cryptocurrency has been restricted to a range of $7,000-$7,800 range, which is already very tight, but the price has barely moved in the last 36 hours, likely indicating an indecisive market.
Daily volatility, as indicated by the spread between the daily price high and daily price low, fell to $107.63 on Thursday – the lowest level since Oct. 2, 2017 and down 86 percent from the 2018 average of $793, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI).
As of writing, prices on CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) are at $7,580, marking around a $100 drop over 24 hours.
While all is calm now it may not continue that way for long, as an extended period of sideways action is often followed by a violent move on either side. As technical theory states, the wider the range and the longer the period of the consolidation, the more violent a breakout tends to be.
So, bitcoin could see a speedy $800 move very soon – in either direction.